Conf = Big Ten State = MD
Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Tim McCormackGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.8766327 home-field advantage = -0.67 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Florida Big 12 (20- 3, 94.3) 11-12 215 H Duke ACC (14- 6, 91.9) 12-11 218 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (13- 7, 92.1) 7-11 222 H Penn Ivy League (12- 7, 93.7) 15-14 225 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 87.9) 19-10 301 A Stony Brook Colonial (16- 5, 92.6) 14-13 310 A Syracuse ACC (10- 9, 93.0) 14-13 316 A Southern California Big Ten (10- 7, 89.7) 17-11 323 H Rutgers Big Ten ( 8-10, 88.8) 17- 6 326 A James Madison AAC (14- 5, 90.5) 17- 8 330 H Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 83.8) 22- 8 403 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 97.2) 5-18 410 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 8- 7, 88.7) 16- 6 413 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 92.6) 2-13 416 H Penn State Big Ten ( 7- 9, 88.8) 12-11 419 A Maryland Big Ten (15- 6, 92.9) 11-13 423 N Penn State Big Ten ( 7- 9, 88.8) 13- 8 425 N Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 97.2) 15-16 509 H Liberty Atlantic Sun (12- 8, 85.4) 21-11 511 H Princeton Ivy League (16- 4, 93.7) 12-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Florida 11-12 -1 0 -0.24 215 H Duke 12-11 1 1 -0.66 218 A Loyola (MD) 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.12 222 H Penn 15-14 1 0 1.13 225 A Georgetown 19-10 9 4 + 2.74 301 A Stony Brook 14-13 1 0 1.43 310 A Syracuse 14-13 1 0 1.76 316 A Southern California 17-11 6 2 + 3.46 323 H Rutgers 17- 6 11 4 + 2.25 326 A James Madison 17- 8 9 1 ++ 5.33 330 H Oregon 22- 8 14 9 0.00 403 H Northwestern 5-18 -13 -3 - -3.39 410 A Ohio State 16- 6 10 3 + 3.53 413 A Michigan 2-13 -11 0 --- -6.57 416 H Penn State 12-11 1 4 - -3.74 419 A Maryland 11-13 -2 0 -1.27 423 N Penn State 13- 8 5 4 0.93 425 N Northwestern 15-16 -1 -4 + 3.28 509 H Liberty 21-11 10 8 0.00 511 H Princeton 12-18 -6 0 -- -5.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A Michigan 2-13 -11 0 --- -6.57 218 A Loyola (MD) 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.12 511 H Princeton 12-18 -6 0 -- -5.85 403 H Northwestern 5-18 -13 -3 - -3.39 416 H Penn State 12-11 1 4 - -3.74OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A James Madison 17- 8 9 1 ++ 5.33 225 A Georgetown 19-10 9 4 + 2.74 316 A Southern California 17-11 6 2 + 3.46 323 H Rutgers 17- 6 11 4 + 2.25 410 A Ohio State 16- 6 10 3 + 3.53 425 N Northwestern 15-16 -1 -4 + 3.28
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.88 Power Rank................. 11 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 79.60 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7190 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6403 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 19 Selection sum ........... 29 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 9 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 10 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0